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Hartleys Research: Friendly Bid for Crescent adds Production oz

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Friendly Bid for Crescent adds Production Ounces

Hartleys is a transaction adviser to FML in respect of this bid

Focus Minerals Limited (“Focus”, “FML”, “Company”) has made an off-market takeover for Crescent Gold Limited (“Crescent”, “CRE”). The bid is friendly and Crescent’s board is unanimously recommending the offer and have provided acceptances for all their shares. The consideration being offered to Crescent Shareholders is one FML share for every 1.18 CRE shares held. Focus has also entered into a pre-bid acceptance agreement with Crescent’s major shareholder, Deutsche Bank Group (“Deutsche”), which owns 29.23% of Crescent. The pre-bid agreement is in respect of 19.9% of shares in Crescent. In the absence of a superior offer, Deutsche intends to accept the bid for the remaining 9.33%. Focus currently has a diluted 18.5% relevant interest in Crescent following conversion of a convertible note to CRE shares by note holders.

Combined production of 230Kozpa targeted for CY2012

The transaction enables Focus to grow production, double resources and diversify operations. Targeted production from Crescent’s Laverton operation is expected to add ~100kozpa for combined production of ~230koz in CY2012.

Adverse weather conditions impacted the Laverton operations during the Dec CY’10 and March CY’11 quarters, causing a loss of haulage days and a decrease to ore processed. Reduced production and revenue resulted in tight working capital which hampered CRE’s development progress at Laverton. We see the strong balance sheet of Focus, along with FML’s management/operational expertise as important factors for the turnaround of the Laverton operation. Operational efficiencies provide an opportunity to reduce costs and improve cash flows, but the biggest improvements can come through improved ore scheduling (increase mined ore grades and improve processed tonnes). Focus is targeting cash costs below $900/oz, which we believe is attainable.

Resources double to 4.5Moz, Reserves now 746Koz

The combined entity will have gold resources of 4.5Moz. Crescent’s current resource is 2.25Moz at a grade of 2.1g/t Au, with the vast majority of the resources contained within shallow-oxide open pits. Focus’ current resource is also 2.25Moz but at a slightly higher grade of 2.6g/t Au, due to some higher grade underground resources. Combined reserves through the merger would be ~746koz at grade of ~2.1g/t Au. Focus’ post merger EV/Resource metric is calculated to be $62/oz, a considerable discount to its producer peer’s of $115/oz, which provides a revaluation opportunity.

A pipeline of exploration opportunities

The combined group has a strong portfolio of expanding mine operations and a pipeline of exploration opportunities. Post-merger integration will provide the financial capability and in-house experience to unlock CRE’s exploration value across the Laverton district; a well endowed goldfield that has produced over 25Moz of gold from deposits less than 200m deep. Our preliminary valuation of Crescent sees value in the transaction and we continue to recommend Focus Minerals Limited as a Buy. The offer opened on 30th June 2011 and closes on 1st August 2011, unless extended.

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